Preview

Trudy VNIRO

Advanced search

Features of hydrometeorological conditions over the Far East during the years of high and low runs of Amur pink salmon of even-numbered generation

https://doi.org/10.36038/2307-3497-2025-202-113-128

EDN: MYOVCH

Abstract

Purpose: assessment of climatic factors influencing the dynamics of Amur pink salmon catch and determination of the mechanisms of this influence during periods of high and low salmon runs to the Amur estuary.

Research Material: salmon catch data from the Amur estuary, water temperature observations from the ESIMO electronic database, air temperature and precipitation data on coastal GMS were obtained from the archives of the VNIIGMI MDC and the archives of the Reanalysis (NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Monthly Mean and Other Derived Variables) of atmospheric pressure P0, geopotential H500.

Methods used: to identify critical levels of salmon catches, an interval recognition algorithm was used, previously developed by a team of authors and demonstrated its effectiveness in solving fisheries problems.

Results: the possibility of determining in two years whether the conditions for the survival of pink salmon during the incubation period will be favorable or not, as well as a forecast for a year of favorable conditions for the survival of pink salmon based on an estimate of the water temperature during the slope, which depends on the characteristics of atmospheric circulation.

About the Authors

Tatiana A. Shatilina
Pacific branch of VNIRO («TINRO»)
Russian Federation

4, per. Shevchenko, Vladivostok, 690091



Guram Sh. Tsitsiashvili
Institute of applied mathematics FEB RAS («IAM FEB RAS»)
Russian Federation

7, Radio str., Vladivostok, 690041



Marina A. Osipova
Institute of applied mathematics FEB RAS («IAM FEB RAS»); Far Eastern Federal University («FEFU»)
Russian Federation

7, Radio str., Vladivostok, 690041

10, Ajax vil., Russian Island, Vladivostok, 690022



Tatiana V. Radchenkova
Institute of applied mathematics FEB RAS («IAM FEB RAS»)
Russian Federation

7, Radio str., Vladivostok, 690041



References

1. Velikanov A.Ya., Tsitsiashvili G.Sh., Shatilina T. A., Radchenkova T. V. 2017. Long-term dynamics of salmon catches in Eastern Sakhalin and climatic and hydrological factors // Current conditions and prospects for the development of salmon farming in the Russian Far East. Thes. of the Scient. Conf. Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, November 7-8, 2017 Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk: SakhNIRO. P. 28-29. (In Russ.)

2. Goryainov A. A., Shatilina T. A. 2003. Dynamics of Asian pink salmon and climatic changes over the Asia-P acific region in the twentieth century // Russ. J. Mar. Biol., V. 29. No. 6. P. 429-435. DOI 10.1023/B: RUMB.0000011707.83549.64 (In Russ.)

3. Goryainov A. A., Shatilina T. A. 2003. Dynamics of Asian pink salmon catches and macrosynoptic processes over the Northern Hemisphere in the 20th century // Bull. of the Far Eastern Branch RAS. No. 1. pp. 20-31. (In Russ.)

4. Goryainov A. A., Shatishina T. A., Tsitsiashvili G.Sh., Radchenkova T. V., Lysenko A. V. 2006. Climatic reasons for the decline of Amur salmon stocks in the 20th century // DV Express information. Vladivostok: Fishing equipment. No. 6. P. 1-17. (In Russ.)

5. Enyutina R. I. 1972. Amur pink salmon (a commercial and biological essay) // Izvestiya TINRO. V. 77. P. 3-126. (In Russ.)

6. Karpova I. P., Shatilina T. A., Goryainov A. A. 2008. Cyclic changes in atmospheric pressure fields over Asia and the Pacific Ocean and in catches of Amur salmon // Questions of commercial oceanology. Iss. 5. No. 1. P. 115-132. (In Russ.)

7. Kolpakov N. V., Kotsyuk D. V. 2019. Fishing crises in the Amur River basin. Quantitative analysis of the fund of fishing grounds // Bull. of the Study of Pacific salmon in the Far East. No. 14. P. 93-105. (In Russ.)

8. Lapin Yu.E. 1971. Patterns of dynamics of fish populations in connection with the duration of their life cycle. Moscow: Nauka. 176 p. (In Russ.)

9. Levanidov V.Ya. 1969. Reproduction of Amur salmon and the food supply of their young in the Amur River tributaries // Izvestiya TINRO. V. 67. 242 p. (In Russ.)

10. Nalimov V. V. 1971. Theory of experiment. Moscow: Nauka. 210 p. (In Russ.)

11. Ostrovsky V. I. 2014. Factors affecting the number of sloping young Pacific salmon // Readings in memory of V. Ya. Levanidov. Vladivostok: Dalnauka. Iss. 6. pp.501-508. (In Russ.)

12. Ostrovsky V. I., Kotsyuk D. V., Kolpakov N. V. 2018. The results of salmon fishing in the Khabarovsk Territory in 2018 // Bull. No. 13 of the study of Pacific salmon in the Far East. Vladivostok: TINRO-center. P. 88-93. (In Russ.)

13. Ostrovsky V. I. 2023. The reasons for the variability of crop yields of Amur pink salmon Oncorhynchus gorbuscha (Walbaum) // Izvestiya TINRO. V. 203. Iss. 2. P. 264-280. DOI: 10.26428/1606-9919-2023-203-264-280. (In Russ.)

14. Ostrovsky V. I., Kozlova T. V. 2023. «Ungrateful» pink salmon. Randomness or regularity // Bull. No. 17 of the study of Pacific salmon in the Far East. Vladivostok: TINRO Publish. P. 152-158. DOI: 10.26428/losos_bull17-2023-152-158. (In Russ.)

15. Rosly Y. S. 1975. The influence of freshwater conditions of Amur salmon on the state of their stocks. // Trudy VNIRO. V. 106. P. 52-57. (In Russ.)

16. Rosly Y. S. 2002. Population dynamics and reproduction of Pacific salmon in the Amur basin. Khabarovsk: Khabarovsk Publishing House. 210 p. (In Russ.)

17. Smirnov A. G. 1947. The state of Amur salmon stocks and the causes of their numerical fluctuations // Izvestiya TINRO. V. 25. P. 33-52. (In Russ.)

18. Spichkin V. A. 1987. Definition of a criterion of a large anomaly // Trudy AANII. V. 402. P. 15-20. (In Russ.)

19. Shatilina T. A., Velikanov A.Ya., Tsitsiashvili G.Sh., Radchenkova T. V. 2018. Abnormal hydrometeorological conditions in the estuarine-coastal period of life of the pink salmon of Eastern Sakhalin // Trudy VNIRO. V. 173. P. 181-192. (In Russ.)

20. Shatilina T. A., Tsitsiashvili G.Sh., Radchenkova T. V. 2006. Experience of using the interval recognition method to predict the extreme iciness of the Tatar Strait (Sea of Japan) // Meteorology and Hydrology. No. 10. P. 65-72. (In Russ.)

21. Shatilina T. A., Tsitsiashvili G.Sh., Radchenkova T. V. 2016. Assessment of trends in the variability of atmospheric action centers over the Asia-Pacific region in the summers of 1950-1979 and 1980-2012 // Meteorology and hydrology. № 1. P. 17-28. (In Russ.)

22. Shatilina T. A., Tsitsiashvili G.Sh., Radchenkova T. V. 2018. The regime of the Okhotsk anticyclone and climatic extremes in the Kuril-Hokkaido region in the summer of 1950-2017 // Abstr. of the All-R uss. Conf. «Hydrometeorology and Ecology: scientific and educational achievements and development prospects». Saint Petersburg: RSHU. P. 491-494. (In Russ.)

23. Svyatukha V. A., Tsitsiashvili G.Sh., Shatilina T. A., Goryainov A. A. 2003. Intra-annual bundles of climatic parameters // Pacific Oceanography. Vladivostok: FERHRI. V. 1, № 2. P. 144-148.


Review

For citations:


Shatilina T.A., Tsitsiashvili G.Sh., Osipova M.A., Radchenkova T.V. Features of hydrometeorological conditions over the Far East during the years of high and low runs of Amur pink salmon of even-numbered generation. Trudy VNIRO. 2025;202(4):113-128. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.36038/2307-3497-2025-202-113-128. EDN: MYOVCH



Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2307-3497 (Print)

По вопросу подписки и приобретения номеров журналов просьба обращаться в ООО «Агентство «КНИГА-СЕРВИС» (т.:  495 – 680-90-88;  E-mail: public@akc.ru  Web: www.akc.ru).