Industry tools for arctic security of Russian Federation

Abstract

The purpose of the work: to calculate and determine the level of Arctic security of the regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation (Arkhangelsk and Murmansk regions, the Republic of Karelia) using the sectoral aggregate criterion of economic security. Based on the results obtained, develop and propose industry-specific tools for ensuring Arctic security.
Materials and methods: the method of econometric analysis and forecasting was applied using a statistical assessment of socio-economic indicators of the Arkhangelsk and Murmansk regions, the Republic of Karelia according to economic security criteria.
Results: in the analyzed period, the Murmansk region showed a high level of Arctic security according to industry criteria, while the Arkhangelsk region and the Republic of Karelia received negative values of the indicator, which means instability to industry risks and threats. This is due to a decrease in the production indicators of sectoral economic entities and the lack of innovation.
Novelty: a forecast assessment of the likelihood of an unfavorable scenario for the implementation of threats to the Arctic security of the Russian Federation was obtained. Recommendations have been developed to prevent and minimize the consequences of risks for the three Arctic regions.
Practical significance: the dynamics of changes in strategic indicators of Arctic security is the basis for making management decisions by regional authorities and the business community; can be used for predictive justification of production, financial and innovative transformations of the industry.