Impact of the large-scale climatic factors on dynamics of pacific saury stock
Abstract
The Pacific saury Cololabis saira is among the most abundant pelagic fish species in the North Pacific. During 1950–2016 the dynamics of its catch and catch per unit effort (CPUE) has been characterized by the well-expressed quasi-decadal variability associated with the large-scale climatic processes in the North Pacific region. There was a quite good opposite relationship (r = –0.45; p = 0.03) between time series of CPUE and mean winter (January-April) index of the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) at zero lag. The analysis revealed also a close relationship (r = 0.68; p = 0.0009) between CPUE and winter NPGO index for 1994–2016 when the time series of the index was shifted by 5 years ahead relative to the CPUE time series. Catch per unit effort increased with warming of surface water east and northeast of Japan. The 5-year time lag was obviously associated with westward propagation of Rossby waves generated by the North Pacific Oscillation/NPGO system in the eastern and central North Pacific, which reached its western boundary and modulated decadal variations in the Kuroshio-Oyashio Current system. At the same time, saury catches in 1950–1993 did not reveal statistically significant relationship with the NPGO index at time lags from 0 to 5 years. Further research of climate impact on abundance dynamics of Pacific saury are needed, using additional biological, fishery and climatic data. It will allow for developing forecasts of saury stock state, with account of the large-scale climatic processes in the North Pacific.
About the Authors
A. S. Krovnin
Russian Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography (FSBSI «VNIRO»)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Moscow
S. P. Melnikov
Russian Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography (FSBSI «VNIRO»)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Moscow
D. V. Artemenkov
Russian Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography (FSBSI «VNIRO»)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Moscow
G. P. Moury
Russian Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography (FSBSI «VNIRO»)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Moscow
A. I. Nikitenko
Russian Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography (FSBSI «VNIRO»)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Moscow
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Review
For citations:
Krovnin A.S., Melnikov S.P., Artemenkov D.V., Moury G.P., Nikitenko A.I. Impact of the large-scale climatic factors on dynamics of pacific saury stock. Trudy VNIRO. 2018;173:66-78. (In Russ.)
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